Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 1.609612 2.032946 2.610617 3.495434 4.898227 7.213663e+00 11.832378
2025-07-27 1.090027 1.517434 2.202853 3.508899 6.354113 1.402713e+01 53.433440
2025-08-03 0.825922 1.210966 1.886772 3.361149 7.403076 2.473617e+01 644.098216
2025-08-10 0.694269 1.060601 1.752827 3.454094 9.324177 5.649518e+01 NaN
2025-08-17 0.613097 0.969712 1.688292 3.661130 12.349515 2.123310e+02 NaN
2025-08-24 0.539927 0.873682 1.575831 3.660873 14.826162 1.489595e+03 NaN
2025-08-31 0.475025 0.779536 1.437664 3.494003 16.151258 7.253053e+06 NaN
2025-09-07 0.440623 0.738792 1.410751 3.689803 21.706197 NaN NaN
2025-09-14 0.404945 0.688807 1.346967 3.712487 26.566693 NaN NaN
2025-09-21 0.370037 0.635005 1.260271 3.592039 29.515692 NaN NaN
2025-09-28 0.342597 0.593362 1.196196 3.535445 34.192040 NaN NaN
2025-10-05 0.333106 0.589162 1.231624 3.973723 61.349100 NaN NaN
2025-10-12 0.318238 0.571458 1.227071 4.238101 104.418404 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 0.298838 0.540989 1.178678 4.229799 144.005195 NaN NaN
2025-10-26 0.278021 0.504910 1.106428 4.032202 159.032694 NaN NaN
2025-11-02 0.265472 0.486821 1.085840 4.153010 283.293069 NaN NaN
2025-11-09 0.256495 0.476088 1.085960 4.424966 871.572178 NaN NaN
2025-11-16 0.244168 0.455892 1.051458 4.424608 2064.075998 NaN NaN
2025-11-23 0.229973 0.429849 0.993393 4.205159 2411.750743 NaN NaN
2025-11-30 0.223389 0.421865 0.994166 4.462786 NaN NaN NaN
2025-12-07 0.214467 0.407198 0.969523 4.492751 NaN NaN NaN
2025-12-14 0.204147 0.388182 0.926899 4.333919 NaN NaN NaN
2025-12-21 0.195574 0.372936 0.895387 4.259531 NaN NaN NaN